How can we figure out exactly what is going on in Ukraine when literally everybody is lying? Anyone that willingly embraces the propaganda that is being put out by either side without questioning it is simply not being rational. At a time like this, we must think for ourselves and we must come to our own conclusions. And we should be doing whatever we can to stop a global war from starting. For years, I have been warning that the United States and Russia were heading toward war, and now we are almost there. If we can’t stop it from happening, tens of millions of people could die, and so the stakes are incredibly high.
Do I trust Vladimir Putin?
He says that the troops that he has massed on Ukraine’s borders are not a threat.
Of course they are a threat.
But is it a threat to invade Ukraine, or is it a threat to strike back if Ukraine invades Donetsk and Luhansk?
Of course I don’t trust the Biden administration either.
You would be amazed at how many otherwise rational people are telling me that even though the Biden administration has not stopped lying ever since they took power that I should now fully believe everything that they are telling us about Ukraine.
What a joke.
Anyone that has unquestioning faith in anything that Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Anthony Blinken or Jake Sullivan has to say is being quite foolish.
I don’t want propaganda.
I just want the truth.
So what is the truth?
Well, that is going to be hard to figure out in an environment where lies are being constantly fired in our direction.
To the best that I can determine, widespread artillery bombardment began less than 24 hours after Russia announced that some troops would start to be pulled back from the border areas.
On Friday, the level of shelling was particularly bad. According to the OSCE, there were over 1,400 explosions “in the rebel held regions of Donetsk and Luhansk” during that 24 hour period…
Fears of tensions boiling over were backed up by figures released Saturday by the OSCE, which showed there were more than 1,400 explosions in the rebel held regions of Donetsk and Luhansk on Friday.
The OSCE’s Special Monitoring Mission that is deployed in the conflict zone said it had logged 553 explosions in Donetsk and a further 860 in neighbouring Luhansk – adding that it had confirmed one civilian casualty in a government-controlled area of Donetsk.
It put the total number of ceasefire violations on Friday at more than 1,500, compared with 870 the day before, suggesting an upwards trajectory of gunfire and mortars.
What I just shared comes from a British news source, and that is important to note, because western news sources are supposed to be convincing us that the Russians are about to invade Ukraine.
But it is the Ukrainians that appear to be prepping for an invasion as they relentlessly pound Donetsk and Luhansk.
Of course the Ukrainians deny this, and some western media sources are actually trying to claim that the separatists in Donetsk and Luhansk are shelling themselves hundreds of times in an effort to justify a Russian invasion of Ukraine.
So what is the truth?
That is a very good question.
It is certainly true that the separatists have been firing back into Ukrainian-held territory, and the government of Ukraine is calling this “provocative firing”.
But as far as I can determine, it was the Ukrainians that started firing first.
I certainly can’t prove that, because I am just one guy on the other side of the planet trying to figure things out as both sides relentlessly lie to all of us.
However, what should be incredibly clear to everyone is that somebody out there really, really wants a war to happen.
In the weeks ahead, I think that it will become clear who that is.
The Russians are trying to convince us that Ukraine is preparing to invade Donetsk and Luhansk now that they have been armed to the teeth by the U.S. and other NATO countries…
The Kremlin said the supply of weapons and ammunition by NATO countries to Ukraine was pushing Kyiv towards a ‘military solution’ against separatists in the country’s east.
‘As a result, civilians… who have to evacuate to Russia to escape the intensifying shelling, suffer,’ the Kremlin added.
On the other hand, the Biden administration is trying to convince us that Russia is trying to “create a false pretext for invasion” because Putin is a madman that desperately wants to get his hands on Ukraine. In fact, Kamala Harris says that what we are witnessing is right out of the “playbook of Russian aggression”…
“There is a playbook of Russian aggression,” Harris told the heads of state and government, foreign dignitaries and a large delegation from the United States. “And this playbook is too familiar for us all. Russia will plead ignorance and innocence. It will create a false pretext for invasion. And it will amass troops and firepower in plain sight.”
So who is right and who is wrong?
Just hours ago, we learned that U.S. officials have supposedly gotten new “intelligence” that Putin has issued “an order to go ahead with an invasion of Ukraine”…
The U.S. has picked up intelligence showing that Russian military officials were given an order to go ahead with an invasion of Ukraine, a U.S. official and another person with knowledge of the matter told NBC News.
The intelligence, which was developed very recently, informed President Joe Biden’s startling declaration Friday that the U.S. believes President Vladimir Putin has already decided to invade, the people said.
I don’t think that Russia is going to invade Ukraine today.
Or the next day.
In fact, I don’t think that he wants to invade Ukraine at all.
But I do think that Putin definitely wants to keep Ukraine out of NATO and western missiles off of his doorstep. Just check out some remarks that he made late last year…
“It is you who must give us guarantees, and you must do it immediately, right now,” he said at his annual news conference late last year. “Are we deploying missiles near the US border? No, we are not. It is the United States that has come to our home with its missiles and is already standing at our doorstep.”
I also think that Putin is very interested in keeping Ukraine out of Donetsk and Luhansk.
If Ukraine invades Donetsk and Luhansk and starts taking lots of territory, I think that Putin will feel forced to intervene.
And then western leaders will have the “Russian invasion” that they have been promising us.
British Prime Minister Boris Johnson made headlines all over the globe when he warned that the Russians are planning “the biggest war in Europe since 1945”…
Evidence suggests Russia is planning “the biggest war in Europe since 1945”, Prime Minister Boris Johnson has said.
He told the BBC’s Sophie Raworth in an interview: “All the signs are that the plan has already in some senses begun.”
Intelligence suggests Russia intends to launch an invasion that will encircle Ukrainian capital Kyiv, Mr Johnson said.
No, I don’t think that is what the Russians truly want.
But if neither side backs down, I think that is exactly what we are going to get.
Nobody should be invading anybody. The Russians should not invade Ukraine, and the Ukrainians should not invade Donetsk and Luhansk.
Ultimately, everybody should just take a step back and relax.
But it appears that is not going to happen. Thanks to all of the shelling in Donetsk and Luhansk, the Russians have announced that they will be extending their “military drills” in Belarus indefinitely…
Russia will extend its military drills with Belarus because of rising violence in Ukraine’s Donbas region, the government in Minsk said, as Russian President Vladimir Putin accepted a new round of talks with Kyiv amid warnings of an imminent Russian invasion.
If war starts, that will plunge the U.S. and Russia into a permanent state of conflict.
Of course missiles would not start flying back and forth immediately. At first, both sides would use other measures to put pressure on the opposing side.
But eventually a breaking point would be reached, and someone would go for the jugular.
We must not allow things to get to that point.
Because if we do cross that line, tens of millions of people could die in a war that nobody wants.
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